These days, I’m involved in a regular exchange of e-mails with Debra Rufini, whom some of you may remember as the author of a couple of rather ill-advised e-mails to PZ Myers and Richard Dawkins. These were soundly fisked across the atheosphere, not least on this blog. Debra is, contrary to popular belief amongst those atheists who have heard of her, actually a bright and engaging conversationalist, and we’ve been chatting back and forth for a few months exploring our different viewpoints. Recently, we got into a discussion in which she noted that we both take our positions from different sources – she from, for example, Lee Strobel, and me from, for example, Charles Darwin. In doing so, Debra cited the story of Lady Hope and Darwin’s deathbed conversion as an example, pointing out that, since neither she nor I was there at the time, we can’t possibly know for certain what happened. I saw this as a good opportunity to look at ways one can assess a piece of evidence, and so composed the response that follows:
“With regards to the veracity of a source, firstly, one has to consider the quantity of evidence. In this particular instance, there are four main sources: the account of Lady Hope, printed in the Watchman Examiner newspaper, the writings of Darwin himself, and the seperate claims by Darwin’s son Francis and his daughter Henrietta that Lady Hope embellished or invented the story. To begin with, then, we have a single account in favour of the story balanced against three sources which contradict it. That in itself is relatively minor – after all, if truth was determined by majority, we would all be Chinese. However, it does demonstrate that there is only a single source to back up the story – if there were additional sources (say, a statement by another witness who was present, or some documents authored by Darwin in which he expressed similar views to those related in the story) then we could consider it substantially more plausible.
Second, we need to consider the motivation behind the source. The original story, published in an American Christian magazine with a distinct, conservative, anti-evolution slant was anonymous – it has become associated with Lady Elizabeth Hope purely because she was the most likely candidate for the “consecrated English Lady” of the story in Britain at the time. Assuming that Elizabeth Hope was the Lady in question, she herself was known to be (from various independent sources, including Burke’s Peerage) a fervent evangelical. Proving that Darwin had made a deathbed conversion would have been a potent weapon in the evangelical arsenal, so there is a clear motivation on the part of both Lady Hope and the publisher to emphasise and embellish the story. If true, it would be a real feather in their cap. By contrast, Francis and Henrietta (both members of the Church of England) published their claims in response to the story, rather than loudly trumpeting Darwin’s faith position at all opportunites – there’s no great gain for them to be found in proving their father an agnostic, especially since they lived in an era when atheism was still the mark of a social pariah.
Thirdly, we consider the content of the source. Here, there are notable discrepancies between Lady Hope’s account and what we know from independent verification to be true. She writes that Darwin asked her to hold a service in his summerhouse, “which seats about thirty people”, yet no such summerhouse existed on the property. There was a conservatory attached, but it would have held maybe ten people at a squeeze. There is no evidence (from parish records) that such a service ever took place. The language she places in Darwin’s mouth (in direct quotations) is at odds with his written works. All in all, the text of the article reads as though it were composed by someone who did not know Darwin intimately, and had little knowledge of the layout of his home. We should also take account of the fact that Darwin’s wife Emma habitually attended his bedside when he had visitors, and she was clearly not present at this meeting – an unusual (though not impossible) state of affairs.
Darwin’s own writings show that he was at least a convinced agnostic:
“By further reflecting that the clearest evidence would be requisite to make any sane man believe in the miracles by which Christianity is supported, – and that the more we know of the fixed laws of nature the more incredible do miracles become, – that the men at that time were ignorant and credulous to a degree almost incomprehensible by us, – that the Gospels cannot be proven to have been written simultaneously with the events, – that they differ in many important details, far too important, as it seemed to me to be admitted as the usual inaccuracies of eye witnesses; by such reflections as these, which I give not as having the least novelty or value, but as they influenced me, I gradually came to disbelieve in Christianity as a divine revelation. The fact that many fake religions have spread over large portions of the earth like wildfire had some weight with me. But I was very unwilling to give up my belief; I feel sure of this, for I can remember often and often inventing day-dreams of old letters between distinguished Romans, and manuscripts being discovered at Pompeii or elsewhere, which confirmed in the most striking manner all that was written in the Gospels. But I found it more and more difficult, with free scope given to my imagination, to invent evidence which would suffice to convince me. Thus disbelief crept over me at a very slow rate, but was at last complete. The rate was so slow that I felt no distress, and have never since doubted even for a single second that my conclusion was correct.”
To find Darwin reading the Bible, expounding on its text with the learned disposition of a clergyman, and requesting Christian services be held on his property is highly at odds with what we know of the man from his own writing. If Lady Hope’s account is true, Darwin never spoke of these ideas to anyone else (including his immediate family) and never wrote about them. Why would he make his deathbed confession to a woman who was, if not a complete stranger, at least no more than a vague acquaintance, and then never mention it again before he died (the Lady Hope story takes place on “one of those glorious autumn afternoons”, but Darwin did not die until April, so he clearly survived for several months after her visit)? The account was not produced until more than 30 years after his death – why would Lady Hope have waited so long before revealing such a bombshell of a story? It makes more sense to consider the idea that she waited until long after any contradictory accounts could have arisen, and until she was in a different (and more sympathetic) country before telling her tale.
When all of this is taken into account, it seems highly unlikely that Darwin’s “conversion” ever took place – indeed, it seems rather implausible that he was even visited by Lady Hope (his daughter Henrietta claims that she never visited him during his last illness). The most likely explanation is that the story is a misremembered concoction written for the Christian equivalent of a tabloid – not a source in which one could place much credence.”
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